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Everton vs West Ham United Preview: Goodison Park hosts a Premier League football showdown on Sunday, September 28, 2025, at 14:00 BST live on Sky Sports, as Everton face West Ham United. Sean Dyche’s Toffees seek stability at home, while the Hammers aim to continue their strong away record. Bettors should prepare for a tense, physical clash with value in unders and set-piece props.
Match Background – Everton vs West Ham
Everton enter this contest hovering above the relegation zone after a slow start. They’ve taken just 4 points from five matches, scoring only 4 goals. At Goodison Park, Dyche’s men remain difficult to beat, with xGA just 1.0 per home game, but goalscoring has been their biggest concern.
West Ham United sit comfortably mid-table with 8 points from five matches. David Moyes’ side claimed a 2-1 away win at Southampton earlier this month and have been strong travellers, scoring in all three away games so far. Their set-piece strength (40% of goals) makes them especially dangerous against Everton’s aerial vulnerabilities.
Head-to-Head – Everton vs West Ham
- Last 10 meetings: Everton 5W-0D-5L
- Goals: 2.5 per game average
- Last season: West Ham 2-0 win at London Stadium; Everton 1-0 win at Goodison.
- At Goodison Park: Everton 3W-0D-2L in last 5.
Trends:
- Under 2.5 Goals in 60% of recent meetings.
- Both Teams to Score in 50%.
- Cards: 4.2 average (Over 3.5 in 65%).
- Corners: 9.6 per match (balanced).
Key Players and Injuries
Everton
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin: Target man, 2 goals this season, aerial presence.
- Dwight McNeil: Creative hub, 2.1 key passes/game.
- Injuries: Dele Alli (groin, out), Vitalii Mykolenko (hamstring, doubt).
West Ham United
- Jarrod Bowen: 3 goals, threat in behind.
- James Ward-Prowse: Dead-ball specialist, 2 assists already.
- Injuries: Nayef Aguerd (ankle, late test), Michail Antonio (hamstring, doubt).
Betting Odds – Everton vs West Ham United Betting Preview
| Market | Everton | Draw | West Ham | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Winner | +200 (3.00) | +230 (3.30) | +150 (2.50) | West Ham implied 40% vs models ~38% |
| Asian Handicap | +0.25 (-110) | – | -0.25 (-110) | Tight; Hammers away form gives slight lean |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Over +115 | – | Under -135 | 60% H2H unders support the angle |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes -105 | – | No -115 | Even split; no clear edge |
Other angles: Cards Over 3.5 (-120) (historical trend) and Ward-Prowse Assist (+300) from set-pieces.
Compare the latest odds at Tobibet before kick-off.
Predictions and Betting Tips – Everton vs West Ham United Betting Preview
- Predicted Score: Everton 0-1 West Ham
- Win Probabilities: Everton 30%, Draw 32%, West Ham 38%
Best Bet: Under 2.5 Goals (-135)
- 60% of H2Hs unders; both teams average less than 1.5 goals/game.
Value Bet: West Ham Win (+150)
- Away scoring form + Everton’s blunt attack tilt the value.
Prop Pick: Jarrod Bowen Anytime Goalscorer (+200)
- Everton weak vs pace; Bowen already has 3 goals.
Avoid Market: BTTS Yes (-105)
- Market too even; both sides inconsistent in scoring.
Longshot: James Ward-Prowse Assist (+300)
- Set-piece dominance boosts chance of delivering at high odds.
Strategy: Pre-match unders look strongest. In-play, if still 0-0 after 30 minutes, unders firm up; if Everton lead, West Ham comeback (+300) offers value given their away scoring rate.
