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Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Preview: Selhurst Park hosts this Premier League football showdown on Saturday, September 27, 2025, at 15:00 BST live on Sky Sports, as Crystal Palace welcome league leaders Liverpool. The Eagles’ defensive resilience meets the Reds’ attacking rampage, setting the tone for a clash where betting angles range from win-to-nil value to goalscoring props.
Match Background – Crystal Palace vs Liverpool.
Crystal Palace sit 5th in the Premier League with 10 points (3W-1D-1L, GD +4), unbeaten in four matches since a narrow opening-day defeat. Their Selhurst Park form is impressive: conceding just 0.8 goals per game at home, including wins over Wolves and West Ham.
Liverpool, meanwhile, top the table with 13 points (4W-1D-0L, GD +10). Arne Slot’s side have scored three or more in three of four away games, while their Champions League win against AC Milan highlighted their depth. The Reds’ attacking power makes them heavy betting favorites, but Palace’s strong home record against top-six sides adds intrigue.
Head-to-Head – Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Betting Preview
- Last 10 meetings: Liverpool 7W-2D-1L
- Average goals: 3.09 per game
- Palace’s last win: 1-0 (2021)
- Last Selhurst clash: 1-1 (April 2024)
Liverpool have dominated overall, but Palace’s Selhurst resilience cannot be ignored. Cards average 4.5 per game, while corners hit double figures (11.2 average), pointing to strong secondary betting markets.
Key Players and Injuries – Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Betting Preview
Crystal Palace:
- Eberechi Eze: 3 assists, 2.5 key passes/game, 0.5 xG/90.
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: 3 goals, strong hold-up play.
- Injuries: Cheick Doucoure (out, knee), Chadi Riad (out, knee), Ismaila Sarr (late test).
Liverpool:
- Mohamed Salah: 5 goals, 4 shots/game, scored in 7 of last 10 vs Palace.
- Darwin Núñez: 3 goals, relentless pressing.
- Injuries: Alisson (doubtful, calf); Kelleher ready to step in.
Tactically, Palace will rely on counters through Eze and Olise, while Liverpool’s pressing (PPDA 8.2) could suffocate Palace’s midfield, especially without Doucoure.
Betting Odds – Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Betting Preview
| Market | Palace | Draw | Liverpool | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Winner | +500 | +350 | -200 | Liverpool 66.7% implied, models ~65% |
| Asian Handicap | +1.5 (-130) | – | -1.5 (+110) | Reds cover -1.5 in 55% vs mid-table |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Over +100 | – | Under -120 | Palace home unders 67% |
| BTTS | Yes +110 | – | No -130 | 50% hit rate in Liverpool away games |
Other markets: Corners Over 10.5 (-110), Cards Over 4.5 (+100) with referee Paul Tierney (4.6 average). For player props, Salah Anytime (-150) and Eze Assist (+200) hold strong value.
🔗 Compare the latest odds on tobibet before kick-off.
Predictions and Betting Tips – Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Betting Preview
- Predicted Score: 0-2 Liverpool
- Win Probabilities: Palace 15%, Draw 20%, Liverpool 65%
Best Bet: Liverpool Win to Nil (-110)
- Reds keep 60% clean sheets away; Palace score in just 40% vs. top sides.
Value Bet: Under 2.5 Goals (-120)
- 60% of H2Hs under the line, Palace’s home games average 1.7 goals.
Avoid Market: Palace +1.5 (-130)
- Too short; Liverpool -1.5 (+110) offers better EV.
Prop Pick: Mohamed Salah Anytime Goalscorer (-150)
- 5 goals already, scored in 70% of matches against Palace.
Longshot: Exact Score 0-2 Liverpool (+600)
- Matches 30% of Reds’ away wins vs mid-table sides.
Live Strategy: If 0-0 at halftime, unders strengthen (Under 2.5 at -105). If Palace take a shock lead, Liverpool comeback (+150) becomes appealing given their 80% win rate when trailing.
Conclusion
Liverpool’s attacking depth and Palace’s injury concerns suggest a controlled Reds victory, most likely low-scoring. Bettors should eye Liverpool Win to Nil and Under 2.5 Goals as the top angles, with Salah a reliable goalscorer option.
