Liverpool vs Everton Betting Preview.

Liverpool vs Everton Betting Preview.

The Merseyside derby returns to Anfield on Saturday, September 20, 2025 (12:30 BST), as Liverpool host Everton in one of the Premier League’s fiercest rivalries. This early-season football showdown carries all the passion and intensity expected from a derby, Liverpool enter as heavy favorites after a perfect start to the season, while Everton aim to spring a surprise against their neighbors.

Liverpool sit top of the league with four wins from four, scoring nine goals and conceding just four. Everton, meanwhile, sit mid-table after an inconsistent start, with two wins, one draw, and one defeat. For bettors, this clash offers a wealth of opportunities across win markets, goals, and player props, but the derby’s fiery nature always adds unpredictability.

Liverpool vs Everton Betting Preview. Recent Form – Liverpool’s Ruthlessness vs Everton’s Inconsistency

Liverpool:

  • Record: 4-0-0 (9 goals scored, 4 conceded).
  • Unbeaten in last 10 Premier League games (7 matches with 3+ goals scored).
  • Home dominance: 3 wins from 3, conceding just once, averaging 2.67 goals scored.
  • Metrics: 62% possession, 2.1 xG created, 0.8 xGA conceded per game.
  • Strength: High press under Arne Slot suffocating opponents early.

Everton:

  • Record: 2-1-1 (5 goals scored, 3 conceded).
  • Recent results: Two wins and a draw but vulnerable away (loss at Fulham).
  • Metrics: 45% average possession, 1.2 xG created, conceding 1.5 xGA away.
  • Strengths: Counter-attacks via wide players, but leaky away defense (2+ goals conceded in 3 of last 4 away trips).

📌 Betting Insight: Liverpool’s 67% clean sheet rate at Anfield makes Liverpool to win to nil highly appealing. Everton’s poor away scoring strengthens this angle.

Head-to-Head – Liverpool vs Everton Betting Preview.

  • Last 10 meetings: Liverpool 6 wins, 3 draws, Everton 1 win.
  • At Anfield: Everton have not won since February 2021 (behind closed doors during COVID).
  • Goals: Average of 2.8 per game in last 10, with BTTS hitting in 50%.
  • Cards: Rising trend, with 3.2 per game in last 5 derbies (rivalry intensity).
  • Corners: Liverpool average 6.5 at home; Everton concede 5 on the road.

📌 Betting Insight: Over 2.5 goals has landed in 70% of Liverpool home games and 60% of recent derbies.

Team News & Key Players – Liverpool vs Everton Betting Preview.

Liverpool

  • Injuries: Jeremie Frimpong (hamstring, out), Stefan Bajcetic (hamstring, out), Alexis Mac Allister (knock, doubtful), Virgil van Dijk (illness, probable).
  • Expected XI (4-2-3-1): Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Konaté, Van Dijk, Robertson; Mac Allister, Szoboszlai; Salah, Díaz, Jones; Núñez.
  • Key Players:
    • Mohamed Salah – 4 goals already; 5 goals in last 7 vs Everton.
    • Darwin Núñez – physical threat, 3.5 shots/game.
    • Virgil van Dijk – wins 75% aerial duels; vital vs set-pieces.

Everton

  • Injuries: Jarrad Branthwaite (hamstring, doubtful), Vitalii Mykolenko (muscle, out), Tim Iroegbunam (knock, doubtful). Dominic Calvert-Lewin fit but injury-prone.
  • Expected XI (4-5-1): Pickford; Patterson, Tarkowski, Keane, Godfrey; Gueye, Onana, Garner, McNeil, Ndiaye; Calvert-Lewin.
  • Key Players:
    • Dominic Calvert-Lewin – hold-up play, but injury risk.
    • Dwight McNeil – creativity on the wing, 5 key passes this season.
    • Amadou Onana – defensive anchor, 2.1 tackles/game.

📌 Betting Insight: Salah anytime goalscorer is the standout prop. Calvert-Lewin props should be treated with caution given his fragile fitness.

Betting Odds & Key Markets

Odds as of September 15, 2025. Please note odds are subject to change. Always check Tobibet for the latest updates before placing your bets.

MarketLiverpoolDrawEvertonNotes
Match Winner (1X2)1.48 (-208)4.50 (+350)6.00 (+500)Reds implied 67.6% chance; models closer to 71%
Asian Handicap-1.0 (-128)—+1.0 (+110)Liverpool -1.5 at evens appeals for 2+ goal win
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsOver -120—Under +100Over hits in 70% of Liverpool home games
Both Teams to ScoreYes -110—No -120No BTTS in 60% of Liverpool’s wins this season

Props & Specials:

  • Salah Anytime Goalscorer (-150)
  • Liverpool Win & Over 2.5 (+150)
  • Corners Over 9.5 (-110)
  • Total Cards Over 4.5 (+100)

Predictions & Betting Tips

  • Best Bet: Liverpool to win to nil (-120). Strong defense + Everton’s weak away attack.
  • Value Bet: Over 2.5 goals (+100). Fits Liverpool’s home trends and derby history.
  • Prop Pick: Mohamed Salah anytime scorer (-150). Reliable derby performer.
  • Longshot: Exact score 3-0 Liverpool (+800). Matches home pattern vs weaker away sides.
  • Live Betting Angles:
    • If 0-0 at HT → back over 2.5 goals (~1.80).
    • If Liverpool score first → Liverpool -1.5 handicap improves.
    • If Everton lead → hedge with BTTS Yes (~2.20).

Conclusion

The Merseyside derby rarely lacks drama. Liverpool’s blistering form and Anfield dominance make them deserved favorites, with Salah leading the charge. Everton’s defensive frailties and inconsistent away record point towards a Liverpool win, potentially to nil. Bettors should consider combining match outcome with goals or player props for maximum value.